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Insights

Our team of expert economists, researchers and strategists bring clarity to the latest market trends and developments that matter

            

   

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Q2 2021 Investment Outlook

23rd April 2021   In our latest Q2 2021 Investment Outlook video, CIO Philipp Bärtschi discusses the recent strong economic data, and his views on what this means for markets and asset classes.   Read More

  

CIO Update

CIO Update: Peak Growth

12th May 2021   With the imminent transition from the economic acceleration phase to a moderation phase, the outlook for financial markets remains fundamentally positive.

  

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Central banks starting to cruise at different speeds

7th May 2021   Yesterday’s decision of the Bank of England to reduce its monthly purchase volume is a timely wake-up call that monetary policy is past its most expansionary period.

  

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Higher Volatility Ahead for Fixed Income

8th April 2021   The expected improvement in global growth will intensify the debate about the timeline for the removal of monetary accommodation in the Developed Markets’ (DM) rate space.   Read more

  

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A Rising Yet Bumpy Path Ahead

30th March 2021   Equity markets have been in a goldilocks environment in recent months. The combination of rising inflation expectations and falling real yields has supported earnings expectations on the one hand and valuations on the other.   Read more

   

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The Return of Inflation

16th March 2021   Inflation is back on investors’ radars. Commodity prices have increased sharply over the last several months and emerging bottlenecks across supply chains should cause producer prices to rise more rapidly over the next few months.   Read more

  

  
 
  
 

GlobalView

Global View Q2 2021

9th March 2021   The global economy is set to improve markedly in the second half of 2021 as the negative impact of the COVID pandemic fades and the global services sector comes back online.
   

Confidence comes back with higher vaccination rates

30th April 2021   US-consumer confidence rose strongly in April and the perception of the state of the labour market has improved dramatically according to the latest Conference Board survey.   Read More

Central banks are not yet ready to phase out asset purchases

23rd April 2021   Strong economic data over the past few months, continued fiscal support and vaccination progress naturally make market participants wonder when central banks will start phasing out their asset purchases....Read More

On the cusp to normalisation

16th April 2021   The slow vaccination rollout in the EU continues to weigh on the region’s economic outlook. This should change in the months ahead...Read More

Green Shoots Everywhere

15th April 2021   The month of April is known in Switzerland for choppy weather. This year, too, summery days were followed shortly by wintry snow showers. In the end, however, spring will prevail with warmer weather. The global economy is also going up and down due to COVID-19 lockdowns.  Read More

Interest rates become less of a headwind for risk assets

9th April 2021   Gold is the worst performing commodity and real estate one of the worst performing equity sectors since the beginning of the year – a period during which rising inflation expectations drove markets...Read More

Time for a break

26th March 2021   The remarkable run of equity markets over the past year has pushed global cyclicals to record highs...Read More

The Fed holds the line

19th March 2021   Wednesday’s dovish Fed meeting has led bond investors to price additional inflationary risks over the next several years...Read More

The US economy roars ahead – our monthly forecast update

12th March 2021   We have revised our 2021 US GDP growth forecast up to 6.9%, from 6%, as President Biden has delivered fully on the pace and size of his fiscal relief package...Read More

CIO Update: Fortunately, interest rates are rising

11th March 2021   It is hard to believe that one year has already passed since the lockdowns first began. The good news is there appears to be light at the end of the tunnel, with case counts and hospitalizations plummeting. Read More

Increasing bond yields – a new challenge for central banks

5th March 2021   The upward pressure on bond yields is not only weighing on financial markets, it is also a concern for central banks that do not want to see a premature tightening of financing conditions...Read More

Global reflation proceeds

26th February 2021   Mirroring higher vaccination rates and the prospect for a stronger fiscal impulse, economic indicators this week improved more strongly in the US than in continental Europe...Read More

A bumpy road ahead – lessons from the ‘taper tantrum’

19th February 2021   We look back at the ‘taper tantrum’ episode in 2013, when Fed comments led to a sharp increase in US real rates and a broad sell-off in risk markets...Read More

Locked down and waiting for the second quarter to come up

12th February 2021   This winter feels longer than usual. It thus might seem strange to see investors worry about financial markets running hot and that an overheating economy could lead inflation to overshoot this year...Read More

CIO Update: Onwards and Upwards

11th February 2021   One of the most important skills for successful investors is to distinguish the essential market information from the rest, the so-called noise. In this sense, the media story of retail investors banding together on social media to fight hedge funds falls into the noise category. ..Read More

Inflation is coming back and here to stay

5th February 2021   After experiencing an almost perfect combination of falling real rates and rising macro momentum over recent months, the road ahead for global equities has narrowed...Read More

Reflationary efforts and where to hide when it comes

29th January 2021   The economy has rarely been as divided as it is now – with a strong manufacturing sector that is further stimulated by global trade and a services sector that is suffering from COVID-related restrictions....Read More

Monitoring the Rebound in Inflation

22nd January 2021   Financial markets are once again in a Goldilocks-scenario: expansionary fiscal policy and high household savings trigger expectations of a strong rebound in economic growth once COVID-related restrictions can be lifted...Read More

CIO Update: Follow the trends

15th January 2021   If I had to sum up the year 2020 in three words, they would be: unexpected, extreme, and exciting. At the beginning of the year, we were all taken completely by surprise by a global pandemic in the middle of a positive sentiment. As a result, we experienced extreme movements in financial markets within a short period of time and unprecedented economic lockdowns. Read More

Our new macro and market forecasts including a new US-fiscal package

15th January 2021   December seems to be a long time ago considering what has happened since first we presented our forecasts for this year and next...Read More

Hope prevails

8th January 2021   Despite the shocking pictures from Washington D.C. this week, we remain hopeful for the US economy. This view is only partly based on the solid economic data reported over recent days...Read More

Trust and the success of populism

18th December 2020   As you may remember from previous years, shortly before the holiday season, we try not to bother you with economic data and financial market views in our last Weekly of the year...Read More

Well calibrated but slightly underwhelming ECB package

11th December 2020   Parents know that the best way to ensure a positive surprise and a happy face on their kids’ birthdays is to pretend to having forgotten it in the days prior, or at least having lost their whish list. Central banking is not that different....Read More

Outlook 2021: Solid economic rebound to favour risk assets

4th December 2020   Unprecedented fiscal and monetary support, which has been deployed to fight the negative impact from the pandemic, will continue to drive the global economic expansion in 2021...Read More

Global View 2021 Outlook

1st December 2020   The COVID pandemic and resulting restrictions are set to weigh on the global economy over the winter months. Yet the breakthrough to an effective vaccine, sets the stage for a broader global economic recovery in 2021, which will be supported by generous fiscal transfers and monetary accommodation. Read More

Second COVID-wave weighing on Europe

27th November 2020   This week was a reminder that the COVID-pandemic is far from over despite the positive vaccine news that we received in the past few weeks...Read More

US small caps have more upside

20th November 2020   Small cap equities in the US have had a remarkable run since September – outperforming their large cap peers by 11%...Read More

Preparing for a healthier 2021

13th November 2020   The news of the week was without any doubt the announcement that an effective vaccine against COVID-19 may have been found...Read More

CIO Update: Uncertainty Would be Reduced

6th November 2020   In October, a number of key factors came to the fore, which created uncertainty and moved the financial markets...Read More

After the US elections and in a new COVID-wave

6th November 2020   It feels like that this has been the longest US election campaign ever. And it might just fit that it takes longer than usual to declare who the winner is...Read More

The Second Wave is Here

30th October 2020   The number of new Covid-19 infections has accelerated sharply in the past few weeks, both in Europe and the US...Read More

Monitoring the second European Covid-wave

23rd October 2020   The number of new Covid-19 cases has been reaching new record highs in many European countries almost every day in the past week...Read More

Market implications of the US election

16.10.2020   With less less than three weeks to go until the US presidential election, investors have started to price in a victory for Joe Biden...Read More

CIO Update: Recovery Continues

8th October 2020   In the coming weeks, the US presidential election will be the main focus of investors. The recent past has taught us that such elections are highly unpredictable to the very end....Read More

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Read more about our pioneering thought leadership and research on investing sustainably

            
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Equity Investing and Natural Capital

12th May 2021   A large share of the world economy relies on natural capital. Since 1970, our ecological footprint has exceeded the Earth’s rate of regeneration. We look at the related risks and opportunities for equity investors. Read more
   
 
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Engaging for Biodiversity: Cocoa and Cobalt

4th May 2021   Our new topical engagement themes focus on addressing several environmental and social issues associated with the extraction and processing of cobalt and cocoa. Read more
  
 
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Integrating Biodiversity in the Investment Process

29th April 2021  Biodiversity ensures natural sustainability for all life forms while boosting the efficiency and productivity of ecosystems. Humanity’s economic activities impact the diversity of species, but at the same time, our economy relies heavily on it.

   
 
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Joining the Net Zero Asset Managers Initiative

21st April 2021   J. Safra Sarasin Sustainable Asset Management is proud to announce that we have joined the Net Zero Asset Managers Initiative, in support of our existing Climate Pledge aiming for a carbon-neutral outcome in assets under management (AuM) by 2035.   Read more
  
 
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Biodiversity as a Vital Component in ESG Analysis

13th April 2021   The pioneering Dasgupta Review on the Economics of Biodiversity clearly highlights the immeasurable value of nature and the enormous economic consequences of its destruction. Likewise, this has an impact on investment outcomes, and as such, J. Safra Sarasin integrates various biodiversity factors into its overall investment process. Read more

  

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Sustainable Funds Comply with SFDR Disclosures

12th April 2021   We are therefore pleased to announce that all of J. Safra Sarasin's EU sustainable funds will be classified under Article 8. In addition, four of our funds will be classified under Article 9. Read more
   
 
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Biodiversity and its Materiality for Investors

29th March 2021   "Biodiversity loss is among the top global risks to society according to the World Economic Forum. In what scientists call the Anthropocene – the age of mankind – the planet is facing its sixth mass extinction, this time caused by humans. Read more

  

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The World's Carbon Budget

24th March 2021  The cyclical upswing we are currently in is creating additional demand for commodities and is also pushing up oil prices and oil stocks. But the securities of companies with exposure to fossil fuels carry long-term risks. These arise not so much from a possible scarcity of fossil resources, but rather from a shortage of the earth's atmosphere's capacity to absorb carbon dioxide emissions. Read more
   
 
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How to Tap Green Revenues As Opportunities

3rd February 2021   Political pressure and the demand for solutions to the enormous ecological problems are steadily growing. We see “green revenues” as opportunities to invest in and incorporate them systemically into our investment process.   Read more
   
 
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Assessing Corporate Alignment With the Paris Accord

28th January 2021   Ever since the previous Bank of England governor Mark Carney's speech in 2015, which introduced the notion of climate-related risks, investors have scrambled to integrate this issue into their investment decisions. Read more
  
 
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Three Avenues of Reflecting Climate Change in Portfolios

20th January 2021   Given the long-term economic impact, climate change is becoming recognized as a significant risk in investment portfolios. We provide a framework on how to integrate climate change into investment decisions. Read more
  
 
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The Climate Transition: High Noon for Investors

4th January 2021   "We only have 7 years left until global warming reaches 1.5°C." This is the sober, albeit abridged, conclusion of the scientific studies of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Read more
   
 
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Achieving the UN SDGs with Real Estate

30th November 2020  Real estate plays an important role in our transition to a greener and more sustainable future. For us, the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) serve as a valuable framework to help achieve positive impact during the entire life cycle of properties. Read more
  
 
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How Biodiversity's Loss Can Cost Investors

26th November 2020   Biodiversity has recently become the new buzzword in the world of sustainable finance. When most of us think of biodiversity, what comes to mind are usually pictures of threatened animals. However, few of us are able to truly grasp the meaning of biodiversity and its impacts on our lives. Read more
   
 
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The UN SDGs: Impact or Opportunity?

23rd November 2020   Since the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) were introduced and raised onto the global political agenda, it has served as a guiding framework for many sustainable investors. However, some of the most hotly debated issues about this topic revolve around whether investors can truly make a positive impact to achieving the SDGs. In this video, we discuss the differences between impact and sustainable investing, and how investing in public markets can contribute to the SDGs. Watch Video
   
 
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Green Real Estate Funds:
Providing a Future-Fit Portfolio while Reducing Carbon Emissions

19th November 2020   This case study provides a roadmap derived from sustainable real estate funds with direct holdings. The author describes how to actively manage properties of an investment fund based on a strategy that has provided attractive financial returns over the years, while successfully reducing carbon emissions. Read more
  
 
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Systematic Integration of the UN SDGs into the Investment Processes

16th November 2020   As founding signatories of both the Principles for Responsible Investments and the Principles for Responsible Banking, we have made a commitment to include SDG considerations in our business decisions. The following article describes our approach in including SDG data and criteria into our sustainable investment process, as well as our ESG (environmental, social, governance) reporting and active ownership activities.   Read more
    
 
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Engagement: COVID-19 Shifts the Focus

29th October 2020   With the disruption caused by the COVID-19 crisis, “social” considerations are back at the forefront of ESG. While corporates work to navigate near-term challenges, it is important to keep in mind that decisions affecting a company's human capital, customers, and the communities in which they operate can have lasting implications, both positive and negative.   Read more
   
 
Impact Investing

Key Principles of Impact Investing

16th October 2020   The sharp rise in demand for sustainable investments over the last decade can be explained by the fact that investors increasingly require their investments to meet social and environmental goals, in addition to generating financial returns. They not only want to know where their money is invested, but whether it also creates an impact.   Read more
   

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Aligning Real Estate with the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C Scenario

5th October 2020   In President von der Leyen’s State of the Union address at the European Parliament Plenary, she outlined a vision for the real estate sector to emerge out of the current pandemic more resilient against an even greater looming crisis: climate change. Read more
  

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Targeting the UN SDG: Impact or Opportunity?

30th September 2020   The year 2015 has gone down in history as the "Bretton Woods" of sustainability. In that year, the two frameworks of the Paris climate agreement and the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) were raised onto the global political agenda. Read more
  

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Do Airlines Have A Carbon Problem?

24th September 2020   The airline industry faces its worst downturn in recorded history and while the near-term focus is on survival, longer-term environmental headwinds remain a challenge. Read more
              

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Imagining a post-COVID world

4th August 2020   In the past few months, much of the world’s focus has been on “flattening the curve” of COVID-19’ spread. While this is crucial, we should not forget the climate crisis, which poses a larger long-term threat..... Watch Video
              

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Our Climate Pledge

4th August 2020   In the past few months, much of the world’s focus has been on “flattening the curve” of COVID-19’ spread. While this is crucial, we should not forget the climate crisis, which poses a larger long-term threat... Watch Video
              

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The coming green recovery

27th July 2020   In the past few months, much of the world’s focus has been on “flattening the curve” of COVID-19’ spread. While this is crucial, we should not forget the climate crisis, which poses a larger long-term threat..... Watch Video
              

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Sustainability country rating for sovereign bonds

17th June 2020   In our latest video, In our latest video, Nico Frey, Sustainable Investment Analyst, tells us more about how considering ESG aspects can give a more comprehensive and holistic risk assessment of countries.... Watch Video
              

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New ESG country rating for sovereign bonds

12th April 2020   As a pioneer in sustainable investment, Bank J. Safra Sarasin already produced one of the very first sustainability ratings for countries back in 2002 and integrated them into its investment strategy. Since then, the rating has been continuously updated and developed further. This Spotlight explains in detail the rating, as well as the latest methodology update and the 2020 results.... Read More

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Delve deeper and learn about the investment strategies that set us apart

   

Thematic Insights Future Health — Liquid Biopsy: A Game-Changer to Detect and Monitor Cancer

April 2021   One of the main priorities in cancer research is to detect cancer cells at an early stage, before they start to spread. A novel and revolutionary approach, known as liquid biopsy, which requires only a blood sample, is leading the way. Read more

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Thematic Insights Tech Disruptors — Semiconductor Manufacturing: The Battle over Tech Supremacy

April 2021   The semiconductor equipment sector, which produces highly complex machines needed to manufacture chips, has found itself in the centre of a brewing political storm between the US and China.

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Investment Update: All China Equities

April 2021   China is expected to become the world’s largest economy in only a few years from now. Thus, the most important question for equity investors is not whether they should allocate to China, but how to best position themselves in this rapidly growing and changing economy.

All China Insight

   

Climate Opportunities - Fighting Climate Change One Cow at a Time

March 2021  If cows were a country, they would be the third-largest greenhouse gas emitter in the world. What types of innovative solutions can tackle this challenge? Watch the video to learn more.  Watch video

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Semiconductors: Driving the Future of Cars

March 2021   Over the last few months, a global shortage of semiconductor chips has forced several carmakers, including Volkswagen and Ford, to halt production, hurting their efforts to recover from depressed demand on the back of COVID-19 lockdowns. The crisis has shone a spotlight on the auto industry’s growing reliance on chips, and the implications for both industries.
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Investment Spotlight: Future-proofing Investments Against Climate Change

March 2021   Today, we see growing impetus from more countries to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. In this inevitable transition to a low-carbon future, there will be many winners and losers. It is crucial for investors to ensure that their portfolios are resilient and “future-proof” against climate change. Read more

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Sustainable Equity Global Thematic Investors Update

February 2021    There are three major issues facing equity investors today: Does the US political environment change anything? Is there any value in growth? Where will we see permanent change and are there any emerging themes worth looking at? Read more and learn about our 2021 outlook.

Investors Update

   

Developments in Sustainable Investing

9th February 2021   2020 was a landmark year for J. Safra Sarasin Sustainable Asset Management, as we further strengthened our commitments to sustainable investing. Watch video

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FAB Five 1st Quarter 2021 Investment Ideas

2nd February 2021   With its ups and downs, 2020 turned out to be an exciting year for investors. We are hopeful that 2021 will bring us some normalisation, with the US election behind us and the roll-out of vaccine programmes.

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Analog Semiconductors: Key Enabler of the EV Revolution

29th January 2021   The world is at the beginning of an electric vehicle revolution, with volumes expected to rise significantly over the coming years. This transformation will likely be followed by one in the autonomous driving space. Read more

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Climate-Proofing Your Investments

25th January 2021   In the inevitable transition to a low-carbon future, there will be many winners and losers. Some companies are already doing better than others. We group them into Climate Pledgers and Green Champions. Learn more in the latest video.

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Thematic Insights Future Health — Transition to Home: The New Hub of Healthcare

21st January 2020   Home-based health players provide a multitude of healthcare services to chronically ill patients directly at home. COVID-19 revealed several shortcomings in the healthcare system, particularly hospitals and skilled nursing facilities as the central hubs of care delivery.   Read more
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Investment Spotlight: COVID-19, Climate Change and the Implications for Thematic Investing

18th November 2020   Nearly a year into the COVID-19 pandemic, some clear implications for thematic investing can already be observed. In many ways, the risks and challenges posed by the pandemic are similar to those presented by another global threat – climate change. Both crises will change our world permanently, and in this Spotlight we explore some of the long-term fundamental shifts happening in our world, as well as what this means for thematic investors.   Read more
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Thematic Insights Tech Disruptors — Warehouse Automation: Reshaping Logistics

October 2020   Demand for warehouse automation equipment is expected to grow strongly over the coming years, driven by several megatrends such as e-commerce, urbanization and sustainability. Read more
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Thematic Insights Future Health — Improved Hygiene: Killing Germs, Saving Lives

October 2020   The COVID-19 pandemic has boosted demand for hygiene and personal protection equipment (PPE) products in hospital, elderly care and private settings. Read more
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Investment Spotlight: The Value of Sustainable Investing For High Quality Bonds

September 2020   Today’s markets are often characterized by uncertainties and volatility, and it remains increasingly challenging to search for yield. In such times, it becomes even more crucial to find a stable and resilient source of returns that can weather storms in the financial markets.

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Why Invest in Sustainable Sovereign and Corporate Bonds?

August 2020   Despite the recent strong recovery in financial markets, the global economy still faces significant challenges. Therefore, it is crucial to bring stability to investment portfolios, while maintaining return potential.  

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Thematic Insights Tech Disruptors — Cybersecurity: Safety in the Digital Age

July 2020   The first half of 2020 was deeply shaped by the coronavirus outbreak, which urged millions of people to stay at home in order to help curb the pandemic.

Tech Cover

   

Thematic Insights Water Solutions —The Fight Against COVID-19

July 2020   Water companies have a critical role to play in the fight against the coronavirus. Whether it is through simple solutions such as filtration systems with UV lights to more complex water analysis systems equipped with a technology that is also capable of identifying the virus.   Read more

Cover Water

   

Thematic Insights Consumer Brands — Welcome to the Cashless Society

July 2020    As the coronavirus continues to spread across the globe, millions of people are urged to stay at home to contain the spread of the pandemic.   Read more

Consumer Cover

   

Thematic Insights Future Health — Telemedicine: The New Normal

July 2020    The adoption of telehealth has taken off since the COVID-19 outbreak as patients prefer to get remote medical advice and monitoring rather than visiting doctor offices.   Read more
Cover Telehealth

  

 

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Repositioning of Water to Green Planet

10th February 2021   JSS Sustainable Asset Management is proud to announce the launch of the Green Planet strategy, which is a natural progression of its commitment towards building a sustainable future, while generating attractive returns. Read more

  

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New Climate Strategy Launched

27th January 2021   JSS Sustainable Asset Management launches a new climate investment strategy that taps into the vast opportunities arising from the global transition to a low-carbon future.
Read more

  

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J. Safra Sarasin Asset Management Funds Awarded Highest Rating by FNG

26th November 2020   We are pleased to announce that all four funds, for which we have submitted, have been awarded the highest possible rating by FNG (Forum Nachhaltige Geldanlagen)

  

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New Fund Supporting Sustainable Development Goals

3rd November 2020   Bank J. Safra Sarasin has launched a compelling public equities solution offering investors a way to support the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) while also generating long-term returns.   Read more

   

Bank J. Safra Sarasin recently launched the JSS Responsible Equity – India fund, which seeks to capture attractive opportunities in the country’s fast-growing economy.

Launch of New Responsible India Fund

30th September 2020   Bank J. Safra Sarasin recently launched the JSS Responsible Equity – India fund, which seeks to capture attractive opportunities in the country’s fast-growing economy.   Read more

  

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Awarded Highest Score In UN PRI Assessment Report

2nd September 2020   Bank J. Safra Sarasin has been awarded A+, the highest score, by the UN-supported Principles of Responsible Investment (PRI), for its overall Sustainability Strategy and Governance.   Read more

   

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Ranked #1 Across Responsible Investment Themes in Switzerland

3rd June 2020   We are pleased to announce that Bank J. Safra Sarasin is ranked #1 in Switzerland and #17 worldwide by ShareAction in their 2020 ranking of the world’s largest asset managers across responsible investment themes.   Read more

  

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Climate Pledge Launched

15th May 2020   Bank J. Safra Sarasin is a founding signatory of the Principles for Responsible Banking and the Principles of Responsible Investing and is committed to contribute to achieving society’s goals as expressed in the UN Sustainable Development Goals and the Paris Climate Agreement.   Read more

  

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Launch of New Healthcare Fund

4th May 2020   Bank J. Safra Sarasin recently launched the JSS Sustainable Equity – Future Health fund, which seeks to capture opportunities from the dynamic shifts in the health landscape.   Read more