Our team of expert economists, researchers and strategists bring clarity to the latest market trends and developments that matter
Brextensions to keep Gilt yields under pressure
11.10.2019 A few positive words from the Irish Prime Minister following a meeting with its British counterpart sent the pound and gilt yields sharply higher yesterday...
CIO Update: In Gold We Trust
04.10.2019 Despite mounting growth concerns, we do not believe a global recession is the most likely scenario...
Global View Q4 2019
02.09.2019 The escalation in the trade war is likely to weigh on corporate investment. While the risk of a global recession has clearly risen, we still expect the expansion to persist in the foreseeable future.
A murky bottom process for the global economy
04.10.2019 The data flow this week was unambiguously bad, dragging down bond yields and stock markets. The critical blows were landed by the ISM surveys of manufacturing on Tuesday and services on Thursday...
Rumbles in USD funding markets
27.09.2019 The usually very smoothly running US repo market has made headlines in the past days with the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) briefly spiking to over 5%...
Fed and markets still at loggerheads
20.09.2019 The Fed cut its policy rates by 25bp as expected but the median dot plot suggests that they will not go down further...
ECB QE: As long as it takes or forever
13.09.2019 There was unanimity across the ECB Governing Council on the view that fiscal policy should become the main tool. This was President Draghi’s answer to his first question at yesteday’s press conference regarding the “chemistry” in the meeting...
CIO Update: Cautious positioning
05.09.2019 The escalation in the trade war is likely to weigh on corporate investment. While the risk of a global recession has clearly risen, we still expect the expansion to persist in the foreseeable future...
ECB: the only game in town?
06.07.2019 With euro area growth and inflation remaining depressed, Mario Draghi is likely to announce a significant easing package when the ECB Governing Council meets next week...
CIO Update: Central banks to the rescue
05.07.2019 Announcements by key central banks indicating that they will support the economy with interest rates cuts, if needed, have made an impression on financial markets.
Johnson moves his Queen on the Brexit chessboard
30.08.2019 By suspending the UK parliament and scheduling a Queen’s speech for mid-October, Boris Johnson has raised the risk of a no-deal Brexit. While it is unclear if this game of brinkmanship is either aimed at arm-twisting the EU into concessions or positioning himself and the Tories for early elections as defenders of the people’s will against the Parliament, there will be reduced scope to stop a hard Brexit and enforce a new extension of Article 50.
How bad can it get?
23.08.2019 Over the past two decades, central bankers have used the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole to signal changes in monetary policy. While they could do so again, there is a lot of doubt with regards to how much more support they can provide, and how effective it would be....
Just another week
16.08.2019 It is difficult to say what was the most important event this week: The yield curve inversion in the US and the equity market sell-off, the postponment of some of the US-tariffs on Chinese imports, the primary election results in Argentina or today’s start of the new Bundesliga football-season?...
Risk of currency war is increasing
09.08.2019 There were hardly positive economic news this week. Global trade remained roughly at last years’ level as latest CPB-data for May showed – no surprise given the level of political uncertainty that we face around it...
Global View - Outlook Q3 2019
03.06.2019 Fears of a global recession have receded as the global economy is slowly turning around...
CIO Update: Need for patience
06.06.2019 The renewed escalation of the trade war between the USA and China has caught investors off guard and triggered a sharp setback in financial markets in May.
CIO Update: Reduced portfolio risk
04.04.2019 Markets are likely to shift into consolidation mode after the strong first-quarter rally in all risky assets. This has prompted us to take profits on some of our positions...
Global View - Outlook Q2 2019
03.03.2019 Global growth is set to slow further in the near term. But we expect the world economy to rebound somewhat in the second half of the year, in part reflecting looser macroeconomic policy in China....
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J. Safra Sarasin celebrates 30 years of sustainable investing
02.10.2019 In this special edition, we highlight J. Safra Sarasin’s 30-year anniversary and key achievements in sustainable investments. It is devoted to the Bank’s journey in becoming a pioneer and leader in sustainable investments.
Targeting the SDGs: Impact and Performance in Listed Equities
03.07.2019 All investments have an impact - not only on individual investors, but also on communities, the environment and the economy at large...
Active Ownership is making an impact
01.04.2019 When it comes to the concept of sustainable investments, many investors still only think of exclusions for the time being. However, the range of instruments has been greatly expanded over the years.
Hazardous chemicals - or the new carbon
12.12.2018 Chemicals are increasingly present in everyday consumer products: from plastics and clothes to flame retardants in mattresses and couches.
Sustainability - a key factor for real estate
07.01.2019 Electromobility is on everyone's minds: as an investment theme, as a fun factor, but above all as a solution to climate change. However, it is less well known that the real estate sector is also an important jigsaw piece in the fight against global warming.
Active ownership - reaching record levels in 2018
02.10.2018 Assets under management for investment strategies that integrate engagement and proxy voting are growing continuously.
Global challenges and investment themes
26.09.2018 The summer of 2018 has brought an unprecedented heatwave to the Northern hemisphere. Forest fires have raged from Sweden down to Greece, claiming the lives of many victims.
Living among robots
29.08.2018 Technological progress and economic growth have triggered an unprecedented expansion phase of robotics adoption and applications across sectors.
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Institutional Spotlight: Sustainable Thematic Returns in a Growth-challenged World
30.08.2019 In today's low growth environment, investors can find attractive returns through the powerful combination of sustainable and thematic investing.
Sustainable investing helps to capture valuable insights that would have otherwise been overlooked by traditional investing frameworks.
Meanwhile a thematic approach helps to harness long-term structural growth opportunities. This powerful combination leads to finding high quality growth companies...
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Institutional Spotlight: Big value in small caps
11.06.2019 In this issue, we delve deeper into our analysis on small cap companies and how they can offer investors higher average returns over the long-term. Our analysis shows that small caps outperform during phases of economic recovery and expansion, but they tend to lag during downturns and recessions...
Institutional Spotlight: Why invest in Total Return strategies?
03.2019 We explore the attraction of unconstrained fixed income strategies and how this investment style can be relevant for many institutional clients. In contrast to equities, active fixed income managers tend to outperform their passive peers, in part due to several drawbacks that come with trying to replicate a fixed income benchmark...
Institutional Spotlight: An adaptive allocation to overcome challenges for the pension system
We discuss several challenges faced by many pension systems today, including changing demographics, depressed long-term expected returns and the prospect of a cyclical downturn…
Institutional Spotlight: Commodities in a portfolio context
Although the performance of commodities has been disappointing in recent years, we see fundamental reasons why it should not be overlooked…
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