Our team of expert economists, researchers and strategists bring clarity to the latest market trends and developments that matter
Coronavirus emerges as a new threat to global markets
24.01.2020 Equities in China and Hong Kong have fallen sharply in recent days as the outbreak of the Coronavirus escalated.... Read More
CIO Update: What is priced in?
10.01.2020 2019 was one of the best years ever recorded for investing in financial markets. Double-digit returns for multi-asset portfolios were not the exception but the rule... Read More
Global View Outlook 2020
02.12..2019 The global manufacturing cycle appears to be bottoming out and we expect the rec
overy to strengthen into 2020. However, growth will probably remain moderate, so that central banks should maintain an easing bias and maintain accommodative liquidity conditions...Read More
‘Phase one’ done
17.01.2020 The ‘phase one’ deal signed in Washington earlier this week sealed a truce in the US-China trade war that has been ongoing for almost two years... Read More
Looking through near-term risks
10.01.2020 Financial markets powered ahead this week as investors shrugged off concerns about a conflict between Iran and the US and instead concentrated on hopes for an upturn in the global business cycle... Read More
Our favourites for the festive season
20.12.2019 It is again the time of the year when you might be more concerned whether your last minute online purchases will arrive before Christmas than you care about the latest retail sales data..... Read More
Is this a new "love fest" among central bankers?
13.12.2019 Is this a new “love fest”? Or just a pre-Christmas consensus among western central bankers? In any case, it is remarkable how much views have converged among them.... Read More
CIO Update: Trade war rollercoaster ride
06.12.2019 After recent months saw an easing of the US-China trade war with both sides dialing down the rhetoric, negotiations have now reached a critical stage... Read More
Forecasts for 2020 and 2021
06.12.2019 Next week the US-Fed, the ECB and the SNB meet and publish their new macro forecasts. So do we in this Weekly. Our forecasts include the view that no policy rate changes can be expected by any of the central banks next week and neither in 2020 or 2021... Read More
Central banks are growing their balance sheets again
29.11.2019 Supported by expansionary policies around the globe, liquidity measures such as global real M1 have expanded at a healthy pace... Read More
Too much pessimism
22.11.2019 Markets do not see rates moving higher any time soon and talk of ‘Japanification’ of advanced economies is getting more frequent... Read More
Unhappy in its own way
08.11.2019 One thing for sure – bond yields are rising faster than we can adjust our forecasts. And if you thought that things are changing more slowly in Switzerland than in other places of the world, we recommend looking at the 10 year Swiss government bond yield... Read More
Faster than you think
08.11.2019 One thing for sure – bond yields are rising faster than we can adjust our forecasts. And if you thought that things are changing more slowly in Switzerland than in other places of the world, we recommend looking at the 10 year Swiss government bond yield... Read More
CIO Update: "In a good place"
08.11.2019 Jerome Powell, President of the US Federal Reserve Bank (Fed), pointed out on numerous occasions in recent months that the US economy was «in a good place»... Read More
Light at the end of the tunnel
01.11.2019 Fed Chair Powell struck a more balanced tone after lowering rates for a third consecutive meeting this week, suggesting that policymakers will now pause the mid-cycle adjustment... Read More
Turning from the ECB to the Fed
25.10.2019 Yesterday’s ECB-meeting and Draghi’s last press conference was much more harmonious than the publicly voiced opposition of some Governing Council members and what the ensuing discussion would have suggested... Read More
Draghi's farewell and a new "to do" list at the ECB
18.10.2019 Next Thursday will be the last policy meeting at the ECB chaired by President Draghi as well as his last press conference. The discussion will probably focus on the public reaction to and the discussion of the past meeting rather than future policy direction... Read More
Brextensions to keep Gilt yields under pressure
11.10.2019 A few positive words from the Irish Prime Minister following a meeting with its British counterpart sent the pound and gilt yields sharply higher yesterday... Read More
CIO Update: In gold we trust
04.10.2019 Despite mounting growth concerns, we do not believe a global recession is the most likely scenario...Read More
CIO Update: Cautious positioning
05.09.2019 The escalation in the trade war is likely to weigh on corporate investment. While the risk of a global recession has clearly risen, we still expect the expansion to persist in the foreseeable future... Read More
Global View - Outlook Q4 2019
02.09.2019 The escalation in the trade war is likely to weigh on corporate investment. While the risk of a global recession has clearly risen, we still expect the expansion to persist in the foreseeable future. Read More
CIO Update: Central banks to the rescue
05.07.2019 Announcements by key central banks indicating that they will support the economy with interest rates cuts, if needed, have made an impression on financial markets. Read More
Global View - Outlook Q3 2019
03.06.2019 Fears of a global recession have receded as the global economy is slowly turning around...Read More
CIO Update: Need for patience
06.06.2019 The renewed escalation of the trade war between the USA and China has caught investors off guard and triggered a sharp setback in financial markets in May. Read More
Global View - Outlook Q2 2019
03.03.2019 Global growth is set to slow further in the near term. But we expect the world economy to rebound somewhat in the second half of the year, in part reflecting looser macroeconomic policy in China.... Read More
Read more about our pioneering thought leadership and research on investing sustainably
SDG: The Decade of Action is Dawning!
03.01.2020 This latest issue is devoted to the impact investors can have by aligning themselves with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Read More
Targeting the SDGs: Impact and Performance in Listed Equities
03.07.2019 All investments have an impact - not only on individual investors, but also on communities, the environment and the economy at large... Read More
J. Safra Sarasin celebrates 30 years of sustainable investing
02.10.2019 In this special edition, we highlight J. Safra Sarasin’s 30-year anniversary and key achievements in sustainable investments. It is devoted to the Bank’s journey in becoming a pioneer and leader in sustainable investments.
01.04.2019 When it comes to the concept of sustainable investments, many investors still only think of exclusions for the time being. However, the range of instruments has been greatly expanded over the years.
07.01.2019 Electromobility is on everyone's minds: as an investment theme, as a fun factor, but above all as a solution to climate change. However, it is less well known that the real estate sector is also an important jigsaw piece in the fight against global warming.
26.09.2018 The summer of 2018 has brought an unprecedented heatwave to the Northern hemisphere. Forest fires have raged from Sweden down to Greece, claiming the lives of many victims.Read More
Living among robots
29.08.2018 Technological progress and economic growth have triggered an unprecedented expansion phase of robotics adoption and applications across sectors.Read More
Delve deeper and learn about the investment strategies that set us apart
Institutional Spotlight: Sustainable High Yield: A Defensive Approach With Great Return Potential
04.12.2019 While the spotlight on sustainable investing has mostly been focused on the equity space, we believe the momentum for fixed income is now catching up. Our latest Institutional Spotlight explores:
1. Why integrating a sustainability approach into the high yield bond universe makes sense
2. Several key benefits of integrating sustainability with high yield, including our findings that sustainable high yield issuers tend to default less frequently
3. Why active management plays an important role in a sustainable high yield portfolio
Institutional Spotlight: Sustainable Thematic Returns in a Growth-challenged World
30.08.2019 In today's low growth environment, investors can find attractive returns through the powerful combination of sustainable and thematic investing. Sustainable investing helps to capture valuable insights that would have otherwise been overlooked by traditional investing frameworks. Meanwhile a thematic approach helps to harness long-term structural growth opportunities. This powerful combination leads to finding high quality growth companies...Read More
Institutional Spotlight: Big value in small caps
11.06.2019 In this issue, we delve deeper into our analysis on small cap companies and how they can offer investors higher average returns over the long-term. Our analysis shows that small caps outperform during phases of economic recovery and expansion, but they tend to lag during downturns and recessions...Read More
Institutional Spotlight: Why invest in Total Return strategies?
03.2019 We explore the attraction of unconstrained fixed income strategies and how this investment style can be relevant for many institutional clients. In contrast to equities, active fixed income managers tend to outperform their passive peers, in part due to several drawbacks that come with trying to replicate a fixed income benchmark...Read More
Institutional Spotlight: An adaptive allocation to overcome challenges for the pension system
11.2018
We discuss several challenges faced by many pension systems today, including changing demographics, depressed long-term expected returns and the prospect of a cyclical downturn…
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